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Australia's Ashes Challenge: Weakest Yet Still Favorites

Australia's Ashes Challenge: Weakest Yet Still Favorites

13 Jan, 2026

Australia may be entering the Ashes with what is considered their weakest XI in 15 years, yet they still stand as favorites. This paradox captures the essence of the ongoing series, as the team’s historic dominance at home creates a formidable challenge for any opponent, including England.

England comes into the series with what many observers describe as their strongest Ashes squad in years. However, they are up against an Australian team that hasn’t lost an Ashes series at home since 2010-11, boasting an impressive record of 99 wins out of 119 home Tests since 2000. This statistic underscores the uphill battle England faces.

The current Australian squad has an age profile that raises eyebrows; Cameron Green is the only player in his 20s, while the rest are over 30. This might be the last major opportunity for stalwarts like Smith, Starc, Hazlewood, Lyon, and Khawaja. Their recent performances have shown signs of decline, with players like Marnus Labuschagne averaging in the low 20s over the last two years.

Adding to the complications, captain Pat Cummins is set to miss the opening match due to a back issue. This Australian team is far from the invincible unit seen during 2013-19. However, England must contend with the reality of facing a side that remains tough to beat on home soil, regardless of its current shape.

Australia's bowling attack remains elite, featuring Mitchell Starc, Josh Hazlewood, and Nathan Lyon, among others. Even in a weakened state, their skills have the potential to dominate any batting lineup. Cummins, with over 300 wickets at an impressive average, is among the best in the game, and Lyon is close to breaking records.

The Ashes series schedule also favors Australia, running from November 21 to January 8, beginning in Perth and culminating in Sydney. This arrangement presents a fast-bowling dream for the Australians, as they have mastered the conditions over the years.

In conclusion, while this may be the thinnest and oldest Australian Ashes squad in recent memory, they are seasoned warriors who have consistently bested England at home. For England, the challenge is daunting: they are not facing a peak Australian team, but rather an experienced side capable of leveraging its history and home advantage.

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