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Pakistan Stock Market Plunges Amid Escalating Pakistan–Afghanistan Tensions

Pakistan Stock Market Plunges Amid Escalating Pakistan–Afghanistan Tensions

27 Feb, 2026

Pakistan’s stock market experienced intense volatility on February 27, 2026, as escalating military tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan rattled investor confidence and triggered widespread selling.

The benchmark KSE-100 index plunged more than 3,000 points intraday, reflecting panic-driven selling and risk-off sentiment across major sectors.

What Triggered the Market Fall?

Investor sentiment weakened following reports of cross-border military escalation.

Pakistan conducted air operations targeting militant bases near the Afghan border, while Afghan authorities condemned the strikes as violations of sovereignty. Reports of cross-border firing and retaliatory military responses heightened fears of a broader conflict.

Geopolitical tensions typically prompt investors to reduce exposure to equities and shift toward safer assets, causing sudden market declines.

Market Snapshot

Intraday (9:20 AM)

  • Index: 165,813

  • Fall: ~3,079 points (-1.82%)

Closing Level

  • Closed at: 168,062

  • Net Loss: 831 points (-0.49%)

Sectors Under Heavy Selling Pressure

Selling was observed across key sectors:

  • Commercial banks

  • Oil & gas exploration

  • Cement

  • Fertilizers

  • Automobile assemblers

  • Power generation & refineries

Large-cap stocks in banking and energy contributed significantly to the index decline.

Partial Recovery Before Close

Markets recovered from deeper losses in afternoon trading due to:

  • No immediate escalation headlines

  • Institutional buying at lower levels

  • Short covering by traders

  • Bargain hunting in blue-chip stocks

Experts note that geopolitical shocks often trigger knee-jerk selling followed by technical rebounds.

Weak Trend Continues

The decline marks:

  • The fifth consecutive negative week

  • A monthly drop exceeding 16,000 points

  • Continued foreign investor outflows

  • Weak corporate earnings outlook

  • Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty

These factors have kept investor sentiment fragile.

Economic & Investment Impact

If tensions persist, analysts warn of broader financial consequences:

  • Delay in IPO activity

  • Reduced foreign investment inflows

  • Pressure on currency stability

  • Rising defense and fiscal burdens

  • Increased sovereign risk perception

Regional instability historically impacts investor confidence and capital flows.

What Lies Ahead?

Market direction will depend on:

  • Further military escalation or de-escalation

  • Diplomatic developments

  • Foreign investor participation

  • Currency movement and inflation outlook

  • Regional geopolitical stability

Any escalation could trigger renewed selling pressure when markets reopen.

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